China’s Influence Set to Climb as U.S. Thwarted on New Bank

KPF Jogja - Seven decades after the end of World War II, the international economic architecture crafted by the U.S. faces its biggest shakeup yet, with China establishing new channels for influence to match its ambitions.

Three lending institutions with at least $190 billion are taking shape under China’s leadership, one of them informally referred to as a Marshall Plan -- evoking the postwar U.S. program to rebuild an impoverished Europe. Also this year, China’s yuan may win the IMF’s blessing as an official reserve currency, a recognition of its rising use in trade and finance.

China’s clout has been expanding for decades, as its rapid growth allowed it to snap up a rising share of the world’s resources, its exports penetrated global markets, and its bulging financial assets gave it power to make big individual loans and purchases. Now, the creation of international lending institutions is leveraging that economic influence closer to the political and diplomatic arenas, as U.S. allies defy America to back China’s initiative.

“This is the beginning of a bigger role for China in global affairs,” said Jim O’Neill, U.K.-based former chief economist at Goldman Sachs Group Inc., who coined the term BRICs in 2001 to highlight the rising economic power of Brazil, Russia, India and China.
Sumber: Blommberg


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PT.Kontak Perkasa Futures, Updated at: 9:40 AM

Dollar Holds Climb With Gold on CPI; Japan Futures Drop

KPF Jogja - Asian stocks climbed, while the dollar regained some momentum on signs U.S. inflation is perking up. Gold was near a more than two-week high and bonds advanced.

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index added 0.2 percent by 9:56 a.m. in Tokyo, rising for the sixth time in seven days as Japan’s Topix index also climbed 0.2 percent. Standard & Poor’s 500 Index futures were little changed after a second day of declines in the U.S. gauge. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was up 0.1 percent as the greenback held its rebound against the euro and gained 0.2 percent versus New Zealand’s currency. Gold held its five-day rally and Australian debt climbed. U.S. oil was at $47.56 a barrel before an update on U.S. crude supplies.

The cost of living in the U.S. climbed 0.2 percent in February from the previous month as fuel costs stabilized. The data came almost a week after the Federal Reserve said it’s looking for inflation to accelerate as officials weigh the timing of their first interest-rate increase since 2006. Australia’s central bank issues its financial stability report Wednesday, and Germany’s Ifo Institute business climate index is due. Data on durable goods orders is scheduled in the U.S.

“Traders love a good pullback and as soon as the dollar looks like it’s setting up to resume its bullish trend currency traders will flood the market with trades,” Scott Schuberg, chief executive officer of Rivkin Securities Ltd. in Sydney, said in an e-mail. “We could see continued volatility in foreign-exchange markets.”

The dollar index, which tracks the greenback against 10 major peers, rose for a second day after sliding 2.2 percent last week as the Fed indicated it will raise rates at a slower pace than previously estimated.
Sumber: Bloomberg


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PT.Kontak Perkasa Futures, Updated at: 9:35 AM

Asia stocks firm amid conflicting signals, dollar holds gains

KPF Jogja - Asian stocks were steady on Wednesday, caught between conflicting signals from lower Wall Street and higher euro zone shares, while the dollar held to modest gains after a rise in U.S. consumer inflation.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan .MIAPJ0000PUS stood little changed after a small bounce the previous day. South Korean and Australian shares were effectively flat while Japan's Nikkei .N225 inched up 0.2 percent.

The Dow .DJI and S&P .SPX both shed 0.6 percent overnight as U.S. equities maintained a loose inverse correlation with the dollar. The strength of the greenback, which earlier in the month soared to multi-year highs against its peers, has become a concern due to its potential negative impact on U.S. corporate earnings.

European stocks, on the other hand, held near record highs the previous day on stronger-than-expected euro zone manufacturing data. The European Central Bank's extensive quantitative easing policy has been a boon to European shares.

The euro was little changed at $1.0912 EUR= after slipping from an overnight peak of $1.1029 briefly reached on the upbeat euro zone data. The common currency has steadily recovered from a 12-year low of $1.0457 hit last week after a dovish-sounding Federal Reserve dimmed prospects for an earlier interest rate hike and blunted the dollar's advance.

The dollar was steady at 119.75 yen JPY= following an overnight bounce from a low of 119.22. A decline in U.S. Treasury yields limited the dollar's gains.

The U.S. currency was still some distance from an eight-year peak of 122.04 scaled two weeks ago when expectations for an earlier Fed rate hike were stronger.

The yield on benchmark 10-year Treasury notes US10YT=RR slipped to a six-week low overnight thanks to a weaker Wall Street, with the debt market brushing aside a 0.2 percent rise in U.S. February consumer price index. ECONUS

The drop by the 10-year Treasury yield is an indication "that while equities are pricing in Fed tightening, bond traders are not concerned about rising rates," Kathy Lien, managing director for FX strategy at BK Asset Management wrote in a note to clients.

In commodities, Brent crude oil was firm after falling the previous day on the dollar's strength and persisting fears of global oversupply. [O/R]
Brent crude LCOc1 stood little changed at $55.12 a barrel.
Sumber: Reuters


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PT.Kontak Perkasa Futures, Updated at: 9:33 AM

China’s Stock-Index Futures Drop After Longest Rally Since 1992

KPF Jogja - China’s stock-index futures retreated after the benchmark gauge had its longest winning streak since 1992.

Futures on the CSI 300 Index expiring in April, the most active contract, lost 0.3 percent to 3,961.40 as of 9:16 a.m. local time. Agricultural Bank of China Ltd. may move after posting an unexpected decline in fourth-quarter earnings. China Life Insurance Co., the nation’s biggest insurer, may advance after saying profit rose 30 percent last year.

The Shanghai Composite Index climbed 0.1 percent to 3,691.41 for a 10th day of gains on Tuesday. The winning streak was the longest since a 14-day stretch in May 1992. The CSI 300 Index rose less than 0.1 percent. Combined turnover in Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges jumped to an all-time high on Tuesday, while new account openings surged to a record 1.14 million last week.

Hong Kong’s Hang Seng China Enterprises Index fell 1.4 percent, while the Hang Seng Index lost 0.4 percent. The Bloomberg China-US Equity Index, the measure of the most-traded U.S.-listed Chinese companies, added 0.2 percent for a seventh day of gains in New York on Tuesday.

The Shanghai Composite has gained 14 percent this year, extending last year’s 53 percent advance, amid speculation the government will add to two cuts in interest rates and one reduction in lenders’ reserve-requirement ratios since November to shore up growth.
Source: Bloomberg


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PT.Kontak Perkasa Futures, Updated at: 9:32 AM

Kinerja Saham Material Angkat Saham Asia

KPF Jogja - Saham Asia menguat, dengan indeks acuan regional rebound Selasa kemarin menuju level tertinggi dalam enam bulan terakhir, karena saham produsen barang rumah tangga dan saham material memimpin kenaikan.

Indeks MSCI Asia Pacific naik 0,2 % ke level 148,98 pukul 09:03 pagi di Tokyo. Indeks tersebut naik 7,8 % tahun ini sampai Selasa kemarin, sehingga mendorong valuasi estimasi laba sebesar 15 kali, merupakan level tertinggi sejak Mei 2010 lalu, dibandingkan dengan 17,7 kali untuk Indeks Standard & Poor 500.

Indeks Topix Jepang naik 0,3 %. Indeks S&P/ASX 200 Australia naik 0,2 %. Sedangkan Indeks NZX 50 Selandia Baru melemah 0,1 %. Sementara pasar saham di China dan Hong Kong belum dibuka.

Indeks Kospi Korea Selatan stagnan. Sementara pertumbuhan ekonomi negara tersebut pada kuartal keempat direvisi turun menjadi 0,3 % dari tiga bulan sebelumnya, dibandingkan dengan perkiraan sebelumnya sebesar 0,4 %.

Indeks Shanghai Composite naik 0,1 % pada Selasa kemarin, sehingga menghapus penurunan sebesar 2,4 % dan membatasi kenaikan selama 10-hari, merupakan kenaikan beruntun terpanjang dalam hampir 23 tahun terakhir. (vck)
Sumber: Bloomberg


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PT.Kontak Perkasa Futures, Updated at: 9:30 AM

Dollar Holds Drop After Fischer Talks Rates; Copper Futures Jump

KPF Jogja - The dollar maintained declines amid speculation the Federal Reserve won’t be in a hurry to raise interest rates. Most Asian stocks fell after a retreat in the U.S., while copper gained before Chinese factory data.

The greenback was at $1.0949 per euro by 9:12 a.m. in Tokyo, after sliding more than 1 percent against the 19-nation currency on each of the past two trading days. The South Korean won and Malaysian ringgit climbed at least 0.6 percent. More shares fell than rose in the MSCI Asia Pacific Index as Japan’s Topix gauge lost 0.3 percent. U.S. equity futures were little changed after benchmark indexes retreated Monday. Copper futures jumped 2.9 percent in New York, climbing for a fourth day.

San Francisco Fed President John Williams speaks to economists in Sydney Tuesday after Stanley Fischer, the U.S. central bank’s vice chairman, said there won’t be a “smooth upward path” for rates, even with the first increase potentially warranted by late 2015. The prospect of a slower-than-estimated pace of tightening has knocked the dollar from a decade high. In Asia, gauges of March manufacturing are due for China and Japan, and Vietnam reports on inflation.

Source : Bloomberg

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PT.Kontak Perkasa Futures, Updated at: 8:48 AM

Oil Holds Gains Near Week High Before Chinese Manufacturing Data

KPF Jogja - Oil held gains near the highest price in more than a week before data that may signal the strength of China’s economy, the world’s second-largest crude consumer.
 

Futures were little changed in New York after rising 1.9 percent on Monday. An index of China’s manufacturing output was forecast at 50.5 in March, down from 50.7 in February, a Bloomberg News survey showed before a preliminary reading from HSBC Holdings Plc. U.S. crude stockpiles probably increased further from a record high last week, according to a separate Bloomberg poll before government data on Wednesday.

Oil has fallen 12 percent from this year’s peak in February as U.S. crude inventories and production surged to the highest level in more than three decades. Saudi Arabia, which led a decision in November by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries to resist calls to cut output, is pumping near a record level, its petroleum minister said on Sunday.

West Texas Intermediate for May delivery was at $47.18 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange, down 27 cents, at 12 p.m. Sydney time. The contract advanced 88 cents to $47.45 on Monday. Total volume was about 74 percent below the 100-day average. Prices have decreased 11 percent this year.

Source: Bloomberg

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PT.Kontak Perkasa Futures, Updated at: 8:44 AM